Casual football bettors don’t pay as much attention to totals as they should. If football bettors approach them correctly, totals can be just as profitable as points spreads. But if they aren’t careful enough, it could prove to be more lucrative. If you don’t approach totals correctly, it can be easy to lose a lot of money. It’s also easy to make poor decisions if your aren’t careful. These are the five essentials you need to remember, whether you’re just starting to bet on football totals or looking to แทงบอลออนไลน์ your profits.
Consider matchups The biggest mistake football bettors make when calculating totals is not taking into account matchups. Most people will choose the over if two teams with strong offenses are facing each other. This may be the best choice. However, you don’t know until you see what the opposing offenses will be up against. They might not be at their best if one of the offenses is heavily run-oriented and they are up against a strong run defense. A strong run offense can also help keep the opposing team’s pass offense from the field, and reduce the number of points they can score. An offense can only do what the defense allows it to.
What’s the public thinking? It is important to consider what the betting public thinks about a particular game and how that affects the total. The over is the most popular wager in most cases. This preference is even stronger when strong offenses are involved. It doesn’t really matter how high the total is when these teams play each other. The public will be more interested in it. If you are going to handicap a total, you need to think about where the public will be and how strong they will be. They will be more likely to favor one side than the other, because they have made the line higher than normal to compensate for all of the action.
Watch out for outliers Smart totals bettors look for teams that favor one side more often than is reasonable. It is absurd to assume that every football team will win, no matter how great their offense. You need to examine how a team is doing it, and whether they have the ability to keep it up. It is more important to notice if teams are going over or below the total in every single game. It is possible to conclude that a team that exceeds the total average by 12 points per game after six games can’t be trusted that it will be this strong the rest of the season. This is the highest amount of points a team has ever exceeded in a single season. Most teams will exceed the total by an average score of four points or less per game. You can expect a correction if a football team is significantly outside these margins. If you make the right wager, you can reap the benefits.
Take into account the weather. While the impact of weather on point spreads can be overstated for totals, it is not always the case. Weather can have a significant impact on how football teams play offense. It could affect their ability to pass, making them more dependent on running. Each possession is extended by the run. This reduces the number of possessions each side has and makes it more difficult to score many points. Two teams that are more likely to go over could be a real advantage on the under. This is just one example of how weather can impact totals. Also, extreme heat, snow and wind can have an effect. Even the best weather conditions need to be considered – offenses can do whatever they like if the weather is perfect.
Injuries– Injuries can have an enormous impact on totals. A missing key player or combination of players can dramatically พนันบอลออนไลน์ decrease a team’s ability to score. However, the truth is that almost all injuries to high-profile players in skill positions are overpaid by the public. If a quarterback or running back is injured, a game that was considered an over can be re-written to an under. The betting public reacts too quickly, so savvy football gamblers can often find pleasant value if they are patient and resist the temptation to panic.